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{"id":51608,"date":"2016-05-01T19:30:03","date_gmt":"2016-05-01T17:30:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/?p=51608"},"modified":"2016-05-01T19:30:03","modified_gmt":"2016-05-01T17:30:03","slug":"kraj-cesida-kraj-demokratije","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/2016\/05\/kraj-cesida-kraj-demokratije\/","title":{"rendered":"Kraj CeSID-a, kraj demokratije"},"content":{"rendered":"

U svojoj knjizi Kraj nauke (The End of Science) ameri\u010dki novinar D\u017eon Horgan (John Horgan) skre\u0107e pa\u017enju na pojavu takozvanih ironi\u010dnih<\/em> nau\u010dnika. Po Horganu, to su nau\u010dnici koji nemaju nikakve dokaze za tvrdnje (i to po pravilu zna\u010dajno bombasti\u010dne) koje iznose. U ovom skupu nau\u010dnika su, na primer, fizi\u010dari koji se bave teorijom struna, udobnim konceptom koji bi trebalo da izrodi kona\u010dnu teoriju svega. Udobnost koncepta struna po\u010dinje i zavr\u0161ava se time \u0161to zahteva svemir od makar deset dimenzija \u2013 mi se te\u0161ko mirimo i sa ovom \u010detvrtom koju nam je Ajn\u0161tajn nametnuo.<\/p>\n

Jasno je iz uvoda \u2013 danas \u0107u pri\u010dati o CeSID-u. Ali, pre toga, jedan klasik.<\/p>\n

<\/iframe><\/p>\n<\/p>\nA \u0161ta, nije irony<\/em> nego ivory<\/em>? Jaoj. Nego, CeSID. U zemlji Srbiji ne postoji svakodnevnija stvar od relativizovanja ne\u010dijeg rada. Dobar deo populacije ni\u0161ta drugo i ne \u010dini do tra\u017ei razloge zbog kojih je ne\u010diji posao lo\u0161, nemogu\u0107, ironi\u010dan. Razlog za ovo je \u010dinjenica da se iza dobre ve\u0107ine uspe\u0161nih poslova krije la\u017e, korupcija, kriminal. Tajkuni raznih boja \u2013 uklju\u010duju\u0107i i slavnog Mi\u0161u Atanasijevi\u0107a, dobro-tvora srpskog i monopolistu u trgovini solju \u2013 ve\u0107 su dosadni primeri.<\/p>\nReklo bi se da odrastanje u Srbiji ni\u0161ta drugo i nije do babu\u0161kasto razotkrivanje ironije u svetu oko sebe. U tom smislu bi se reklo i da, ako je ne\u0161to dobro proiza\u0161lo iz prethodnih izbora, to je moje preme\u0161tanje CeSID-a u fioku homeopatskih prevaranata. To ipak nije slu\u010daj. Da se podsetimo.<\/p>\nCeSID je organizacija koja je, pored ostalih poslova, u Srbiji promovisala jedan fascinantan podskup mogu\u0107nosti matematike kao nau\u010dnog jezika koji poznajemo pod nazivom statistika<\/em>. Ukratko re\u010deno, CeSID u svom posedu ima spisak grupa bira\u010dkih mesta \u010diji rezultati glasanja, kada se podvrgnu statisti\u010dkoj analizi, nezaustavljivo ukazuju na ukupne rezultate izbora. Ne moramo, dakle, uop\u0161te brojati sve glasove (taj posao, vidimo, ni oni \u010diji je to posao ne umeju da urade kako treba, koliko god bizarno jednostavno taj posao zvu\u010dao) \u2013 treba brojati samo ta\u010dno odre\u0111ene glasove <\/em>i oni \u0107e, pod nezaustavljivom silom pritiska statistike, dati kona\u010dne rezultate kompletnih izbora iz zanemarljivu gre\u0161ku.<\/p>\nSvi smo bili u\u017eivaoci ovog strogog i nau\u010dnog koncepta. \u010cekali smo napeto Marka Blagojevi\u0107a da u 22:00 ispri\u010da rezultate, pa da pole\u017eemo. Sprdali smo se sa rezultatima nesre\u0107nog RIK-a. A mudri me\u0111u nama su opominjali: to je name\u0161taljka; to ne mo\u017ee tako. I evo, desilo se ove godine. Svi smo bili svedoci (o)tu\u017enih slika gde, kao kakav lopov koji \u017euri u WC, na male ekrane televizije B92 utr\u010dava nekakav cesidi\u0107 i na brzinu \u010dita rezultate nekog dela obra\u0111enog uzorka (Iskusni su nam se nasmejali u brk, pa nas podsetili da nije ovo prvi put, da je CeSID lagao jo\u0161 ono 2005. godine apropo nesre\u0107nog Ustava.)<\/p>\n<img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-51607 size-full\" title=\"Rezultati izbora\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/media\/2016\/05\/cesid.jpg\" alt=\"Rezultati izbora\" width=\"754\" height=\"336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/media\/2016\/05\/cesid.jpg 754w, https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/media\/2016\/05\/cesid-300x134.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/media\/2016\/05\/cesid-640x285.jpg 640w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 709px) 85vw, (max-width: 909px) 67vw, (max-width: 984px) 61vw, (max-width: 1362px) 45vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\nNe, dame i gospodo, nauka tako ne funkcioni\u0161e. Niko ne \u017eeli da zna parcijalne rezultate. Da li vas interesuje da likujete nad logi\u010dkim gre\u0161kama, prebacivanja sa leve na desnu stranu koja zadr\u017eavaju minuse tamo gde je mesto plusevima i bez promene znaka nejednakosti, re\u0161enjima elementarnih integrala koja o\u010dekuju kosinuse umesto sinusa? Samo ovla\u0161 probrljajte kroz sme\u0107e bilo kojeg nau\u010dnika sa iole priznatim rezultatima. Mnoga je amazonska pra\u0161uma umrla za ispravnost energetskog prora\u010duna osvetljavanja grada Ni\u0161a i okoline.<\/p>\nI to je prva i poslednja CeSID-ova gre\u0161ka. Nauka obi\u010dnom \u010doveku uvek isporu\u010duje klju\u010d u ruke<\/strong>.<\/p>\nP.S. Svakako, demokratija odumire. U tom smislu nikome vi\u0161e ne treba Centar za slobodne izbore i demokratiju. \u0160e\u0161elj je ve\u0107 u Parlamentu, gde \u010deka ostatak fa\u0161istoida koji sti\u017eu uz podr\u0161ku pokreta Dosta je bilo, a taj \u0107e ulazak svakako pozdraviti i njihovi mozgovni prijatelji-ludaci Le Pen, Orban i Erdogan, Klintoni i Trampovi. 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Po Horganu, to su nau\u010dnici koji nemaju nikakve dokaze za tvrdnje (i to po pravilu zna\u010dajno bombasti\u010dne) koje iznose. U ovom skupu nau\u010dnika su, na primer, fizi\u010dari koji se bave teorijom struna, udobnim … <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/2016\/05\/kraj-cesida-kraj-demokratije\/\" class=\"more-link\">Nastavite sa čitanjem… “Kraj CeSID-a, kraj demokratije”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":51607,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[8],"tags":[40,379],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51608"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51608"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51608\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/51607"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51608"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51608"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sustinapasijansa.info\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51608"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}